{"id":149,"date":"2020-02-07T20:38:23","date_gmt":"2020-02-07T20:38:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.oubliette.org\/blog\/?p=149"},"modified":"2020-03-29T09:34:33","modified_gmt":"2020-03-29T09:34:33","slug":"but-a-whimper","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.oubliette.org\/blog\/index.php\/2020\/02\/07\/but-a-whimper\/","title":{"rendered":"&#8230;but a whimper"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-drop-cap\">So the Senate acted as expected &#8211; voting along party lines to acquit Trump of abuse of power and obstruction of congress and leave him in office.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To paraphrase my <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Shepherd_Book\">favorite TV shepherd<\/a> &#8220;I&#8217;m not even sure I think they were wrong.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump is undoubtedly guilty of the offenses he was charged with.  Mitch McConnell is undoubtedly a toadying ass. And Mike Pence is undoubtedly more adept at manipulating the US political establishment than his boss, and thereby likely even more dangerous.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right\">&#8220;If you strike me down, he shall become more powerful than you can ever imagine.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right\">&#8220;I dunno, I can imagine quite a bit\u2026&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That Pence is not in charge is cold comfort.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There was no winning move.  To not impeach Trump was tacit approval of his behavior.  To impeach Trump mandated giving the Republican controlled Senate control over the outcome. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right\">\u201cI could stand in the middle of Fifth Avenue and shoot somebody and I wouldn\u2019t lose any voters,\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The odds of the Republicans breaking ranks and removing Trump from office &#8211; regardless of the charges, or the evidence &#8211; were basically zero from the outset.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Democrats fall apart.  Republicans fall in line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Well, save <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/02\/05\/us\/politics\/mitt-romney-impeachment-speech-transcript.html\">Mitt Romney<\/a>, it turns out.    And his behavior over time has<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/02\/07\/opinion\/mitt-romney-impeachment.html\"> made it<\/a> really difficult to think about his actions in any rational way (or maybe difficult to think about his actions in any way other than a rational actor).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Basically, McConnell was correct in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/02\/06\/us\/trump-impeachment.html\">saying<\/a> \u201cIf this was all about politics, and it was, at least at the moment I think it is fair to conclude that we won and they lost.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Take a second to unpack &#8220;we&#8221; and &#8220;they.&#8221;  &#8220;We&#8221; is pretty clearly the Republican party.  &#8220;They,&#8221; as far as I can tell, includes the Democratic party, rule of law, and <em>whomever tries to reign in presidential power in the future<\/em>.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Including &#8220;American Democracy&#8221; in that list feels like hyperbole.  Just because something&#8217;s hyperbole doesn&#8217;t mean it&#8217;s false. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As of this writing, <a href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/\">FiveThirtyEight<\/a> gives Sanders <a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/2020-primary-forecast\/\">nearly even odds<\/a> of gaining a majority of pledged delegates in the Democratic primary.  A self-described socialist that has or will alienate moderate voters, regardless of which side of the aisle they lean toward. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;ve been saying it since he was elected, and I see no reason to amend it now &#8211; &#8220;If he [Trump] runs again, he wins again.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I don&#8217;t think it&#8217;s likely that Trump wins the next election &#8211; I think it&#8217;s nearly guaranteed that the Democrats lose it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Please, America.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Prove me wrong.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>So the Senate acted as expected &#8211; voting along party lines to acquit Trump of abuse of power and obstruction of congress and leave him in office. To paraphrase my favorite TV shepherd &#8220;I&#8217;m not even sure I think they were wrong.&#8221; Trump is undoubtedly guilty of the offenses he was charged with. Mitch McConnell &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.oubliette.org\/blog\/index.php\/2020\/02\/07\/but-a-whimper\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;&#8230;but a whimper&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-149","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-life-the-universe-and-everything"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.oubliette.org\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/149","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.oubliette.org\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.oubliette.org\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.oubliette.org\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.oubliette.org\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=149"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/www.oubliette.org\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/149\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":158,"href":"https:\/\/www.oubliette.org\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/149\/revisions\/158"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.oubliette.org\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=149"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.oubliette.org\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=149"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.oubliette.org\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=149"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}